Average Earnings Better than Forecasted with Unemployment Ticking Higher
The UK unemployment rate for OCT came inline with the consensus view at 5.10%. This was an uptick of 0.1% compared to the previous month's figure of 5%. Average Earnings Including Bonus (3Mo/Yr) for OCT came in at 4.70% which was better than the consensus forecast. The previous figure was revised up to 4.9%. The employment change for OCT came in at -16K better than the consensus. Claimant count was higher than the consensus figure at 20.1K with the previous figure revised to -3.9K. HMRC Payroll Change for NOV came in at -38K lower than expected. The GBP/USD pair and UK 10Y yields strengthened on the release potentially due to the better than expected average earnings figure alongside the positive revision playing to the narrative that the path to lower rates might be difficult for the BoE as inflation might still present a problem with rising average earnings.